Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5ff3606d44efc7fb279b69dd91dc8379d34fd52ec165d65f2d22ac6bfa6a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Colorado Buffaloes, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Dons | 29c | 2,743$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 69c | 2,097$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 1,456$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Francisco Dons | 35c | 1,435$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.43 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Dons | 54c | 1,405$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 1,378$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.22 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked San Francisco Dons | 50c | 800$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed San Francisco Dons | 50c | 740$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 413.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Francisco Dons | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 365$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 59c | 222.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…15d7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…1b72backed San Francisco Dons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 194.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 43c | 190.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…61b9backed San Francisco Dons | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…65e2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Dons | 18c | 171.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed San Francisco Dons | 61c | 116.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed San Francisco Dons | 25c | 106.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Buffaloes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 99.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…917abacked San Francisco Dons | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…5d38backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9ea9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…8bc4backed San Francisco Dons | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…4807backed San Francisco Dons | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…1885backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 85.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 82.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Dons | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Francisco Dons | 55c | 69.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Francisco Dons | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Colorado Buffaloes | 42c | 65.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed San Francisco Dons | 51c | 62.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…2158backed Colorado Buffaloes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed San Francisco Dons | 32c | 49.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed San Francisco Dons | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed San Francisco Dons | 23c | 46.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 32.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Dons | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked San Francisco Dons | 56c | 27.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…9ed8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 27.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed San Francisco Dons | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…8f17backed San Francisco Dons | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. San Francisco Donsthis page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.