TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Jets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$460,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$466,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets29c89,000$25,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,808.4542552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Kings56c51,056$28,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,511.4215953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets44c47,555$20,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,862.1188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Jets45c45,000$20,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,25014057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Kings56c44,500$24,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,579.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kings53c43,122$22,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,354.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Jets44c30,754$13,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,531.962369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings55c27,280$15,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,27640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Jets45c22,020$9,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90916656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Kings55c16,500$9,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,38510356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets45c10,481$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,735.430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Jets45c10,000$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.795646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Jets45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings54c8,961$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.6957453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jets45c6,811$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.4741246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets44c6,210$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.392,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings73c6,097$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.141,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Kings54c5,806$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.764447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets46c5,555$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.31,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Kings57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.165648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kings74c4,706$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.2927143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets46c4,647$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.4262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets47c4,555$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.8589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets45c4,060$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.1258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets48c4,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings55c3,560$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda8a…d188backed Kings56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5403100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2697…cacabacked Jets46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets24c3,444$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.891,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Jets7c3,293$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.629949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jets34c2,939$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Kings56c2,885$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.1648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets45c2,735$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.5387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jets46c2,508$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Jets44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Jets44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Jets8c2,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685420.4%11 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Jets44c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.983557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings56c1,975$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.1989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings70c1,784$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.931,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kings54c1,750$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Jets44c1,700$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74824845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Kings57c1,635$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.852347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jets45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Jets46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Jets44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings55c1,467$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.1585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jets43c1,459$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.3352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Jets13c1,418$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.342917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets43c1,359$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.371,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Jets29c1,118$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings56c1,106$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.91,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Kings54c1,093$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.715646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings77c1,087$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.113,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe997…1922backed Jets28c1,004$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806942%29 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Jets47c1,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46516554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Jets43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4307157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Kings55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Jets47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Jets47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42347845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings53c780.27$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.121,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Jets46c760.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35023047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d37…6246backed Jets46c696.07$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa13e…7448backed Kings53c625$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c59…7e7fbacked Jets48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e2…36b0backed Jets33c601.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002917.2%5 W · 24 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Jets45c570.61$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7719942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Kings53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0445447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ef…6cedbacked Kings53c538.9$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f89…19dfbacked Jets48c538.9$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.671973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Jets20c511.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings53c510.49$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Jets26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jets46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings69c497.36$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.711,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x966d…eaa5backed Jets46c475.68$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5912254.1%66 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Kings56c456.17$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Kings56c452.31$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0213946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Jets6c429.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.914220.4%29 W · 113 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0582…90a7backed Jets29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Jets48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19236652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Kings59c394.68$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3533848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Kings54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3723653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Kings54c367.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.256443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Jets29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec3…6ed4backed Kings53c341.47$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b31…2e09backed Jets48c341.1$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets45c329$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Kings53c319.27$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.272955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8129…e82fbacked Jets48c305.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.441353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jets48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Jets44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13275946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Jets45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.618750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Kings54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13838857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec3…d1c7backed Kings51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.