NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x888fce020b1f14e71d7ab91fa054836da7e5dd3e9465e4061262677f2d22c7dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 4,431$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.48 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,126$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.16 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…f683backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…0e57backed Over | 50c | 2,420$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 51c | 2,268$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.91 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…8f26backed Over | 51c | 2,106$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Over | 50c | 1,765$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…0375backed Over | 50c | 1,576$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4240backed Over | 51c | 1,544$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a9…197bbacked Under | 50c | 1,530$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb499…e0c3backed Over | 50c | 1,326$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 51c | 1,194$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.09 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…13b5backed Under | 50c | 1,183$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,104$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…e4f5backed Under | 50c | 1,076$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce46…de22backed Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…e99abacked Over | 50c | 969$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…3371backed Under | 50c | 964$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…be69backed Under | 50c | 958$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…2424backed Over | 50c | 953$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…8522backed Over | 51c | 894$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…e782backed Under | 50c | 890$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c05dbacked Over | 50c | 869$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…63c2backed Under | 50c | 862$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…5874backed Under | 49c | 857.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…1cc2backed Over | 50c | 854$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…d26cbacked Under | 50c | 842$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c6…71bfbacked Over | 50c | 835$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…bb05backed Under | 50c | 685.5$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…f8fabacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 341.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 325.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 322.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 49c | 287.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Over | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…d7efbacked Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. KingsKings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.