TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Missouri State Bearsof Missouri State Bears, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb43…3c74backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.9428539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri State Bears49c8,498$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.332,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Missouri State Bears50c3,777$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.2812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Missouri State Bears48c3,625$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8851050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c3,625$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c2,880$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked Missouri State Bears48c2,880$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens49c2,043$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Missouri State Bears67c1,762$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.783,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens33c1,056$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens20c972.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.552,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens24c849.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.891,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens7c733.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.621,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Missouri State Bears51c682$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1816051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri State Bears49c621.8$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.121,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens51c512.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.417650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Missouri State Bears49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Missouri State Bears51c350.54$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.571050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears58c304.31$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…c85ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens48c253.87$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1221535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Missouri State Bears51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens28c244.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.453,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri State Bears59c214.73$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.334,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc63b…1b72backed Missouri State Bears46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Missouri State Bears53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6839144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c187$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.247553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens36c168.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Missouri State Bears49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens26c144.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c139$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.284537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens31c136.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Missouri State Bears79c126.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.896100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c118$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.364744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens10c117.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.191,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens17c109.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c104.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.196546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aaa…6a28backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c101$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d5…880abacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4043…48cebacked Missouri State Bears47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Missouri State Bears50c82.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.743357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Missouri State Bears50c80.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.253646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.845851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Missouri State Bears72c62.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.341,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3da9…e82dbacked Missouri State Bears46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens36c56.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec94…931ebacked Missouri State Bears49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Missouri State Bears63c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.945253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Missouri State Bears48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Missouri State Bears48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Missouri State Bears48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Missouri State Bears48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens45c44.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Missouri State Bears48c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.881952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Missouri State Bears48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.323250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Missouri State Bears48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.323748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Missouri State Bears48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.325549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc643…1a02backed Missouri State Bears46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Missouri State Bears48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Missouri State Bears48c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Missouri State Bears48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Missouri State Bears48c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.242454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Missouri State Bears48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Missouri State Bears48c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Missouri State Bears49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.837146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Missouri State Bears48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.643551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Missouri State Bears50c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.876558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Missouri State Bears48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Missouri State Bears48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Missouri State Bears48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c985backed Missouri State Bears48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.753964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Missouri State Bears51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Missouri State Bears66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.