Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c22a2953ac4e6ab5863da03bb1f63f8357e47a4fd83147762d235b8beeaf549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 46c | 333$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 203.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 192$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 43c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5this page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue HensMissouri State Bears won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 133.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 135.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.