Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa65b884f4d6dfdab24828f45c8dfda49f1242f6d79a507e255cfe6a8e8fe27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri State Bearsof Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens, Missouri State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Missouri State Bears | 53c | 354.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 47c | 215.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 46c | 179.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Missouri State Bears | 49c | 169$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Missouri State Bears | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Missouri State Bears | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Missouri State Bears | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Missouri State Bears | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Missouri State Bears | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State Bears | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Missouri State Bears | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Missouri State Bears | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Missouri State Bears | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Missouri State Bears | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)this page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue HensMissouri State Bears won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 133.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 135.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.