Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa833c339ce0606a06bb325db69f71fe21f7adb99120df873a88ebd58e2e5a990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 289.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 135.5this page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue HensMissouri State Bears won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 133.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5Under won
- Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.