Movies · resolved market
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3593f4cef9e70626904e76d3faccae76ff31c00b27494943601c9fee8ddb688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 29c | 8,763$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 19c | 5,395$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.17 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed No | 75c | 1,554$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.86 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 76c | 1,119$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 56c | 982.37$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.34 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…4e81backed Yes | 30c | 934$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 60c | 924.98$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.53 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 40c | 878.7$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 70c | 781.81$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed Yes | 32c | 623.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…4511backed No | 70c | 621$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…ec98backed Yes | 53c | 609.3$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked Yes | 69c | 588.66$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 57c | 541.75$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…c3c1backed Yes | 23c | 490$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…449dbacked Yes | 28c | 474.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 35c | 446.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 62c | 439.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes | 46c | 423.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed No | 48c | 420.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…694dbacked No | 77c | 375$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 29c | 349.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed Yes | 57c | 338.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 24c | 326.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked No | 70c | 313$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 69c | 269.26$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 57c | 224.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…26c8backed Yes | 72c | 210.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0dcfbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…3c7ebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 78c | 192.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Yes | 32c | 181.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked No | 26c | 177.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 74c | 176.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…4bd2backed Yes | 74c | 161.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…1c61backed Yes | 59c | 160.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…c85ebacked Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…0eebbacked No | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 51c | 155.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…cf74backed Yes | 9c | 149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 145.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…f3ffbacked Yes | 80c | 137.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…e425backed No | 32c | 136.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 129.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 26c | 125.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 43c | 119.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…a90dbacked Yes | 49c | 101.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…27febacked Yes | 34c | 87.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 49c | 82.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 28c | 80.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 47c | 79.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 73c | 67.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…d380backed No | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7241…2c4bbacked Yes | 54c | 64.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 62.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 34c | 60.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…fbb5backed No | 45c | 51.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c59…057dbacked Yes | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…f1afbacked Yes | 44c | 45.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed No | 46c | 43.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…02eebacked Yes | 51c | 41.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…4fd0backed No | 70c | 41.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…d8a3backed Yes | 43c | 41.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…fb55backed Yes | 61c | 40.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 79c | 35.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dac…f726backed No | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…c944backed No | 50c | 25.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023a…7448backed Yes | 55c | 25.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…5a1ebacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…0d52backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed No | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0511…3069backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…f6a9backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…d193backed No | 74c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…a04abacked Yes | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)this page
- Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)Yes won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.