TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Pelicans, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$944,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,056,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8628…6f0bbacked Pelicans14c93,274$13,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,058.383026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Pelicans0c87,969$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1314830.4%45 W · 103 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pelicans2c74,485$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.5420253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans2c61,340$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535b…ffd0backed Pelicans0c43,230$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.232161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b1e…1385backed Pelicans0c31,760$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.762445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Pelicans0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Pelicans11c13,853$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.942524%6 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…c1efbacked Pelicans3c10,674$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pelicans15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50026038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…8015backed Pelicans15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans11c7,806$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.6246928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…4418backed Pelicans15c6,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans0c5,648$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.077211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans14c5,620$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.822,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Pelicans14c5,615$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8107142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pelicans12c5,278$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.0947144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Pelicans10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9934942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans10c4,382$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pelicans15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Pelicans14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans14c3,994$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdf…d2f3backed Pelicans11c3,486$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.266144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans4c3,420$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.051,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b18…84f7backed Pelicans15c3,400$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pelicans14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans14c2,800$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9824330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Pelicans15c2,773$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4168438.1%32 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans13c2,612$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pelicans14c2,588$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2527840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans14c2,441$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9147751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pelicans5c2,399$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa29d…75f2backed Pelicans14c2,360$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans11c2,317$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans15c2,060$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30916730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…a53abacked Pelicans15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Pelicans4c1,947$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.766428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Pelicans15c1,807$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27132450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans13c1,654$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.745815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Pelicans13c1,634$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.464553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pelicans5c1,533$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Pelicans15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked Pelicans12c1,400$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Pelicans11c1,300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14350453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans14c1,165$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaff…41afbacked Pelicans11c1,003$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.372740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b06…449bbacked Pelicans15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…37bfbacked Pelicans15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Pelicans15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…2c01backed Pelicans3c930.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Pelicans15c911$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.047739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5f…eb0bbacked Pelicans10c891.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…9f58backed Pelicans16c811.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bf…5761backed Pelicans14c763$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Pelicans4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304912.2%6 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Pelicans13c745.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5613042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5a3…1779backed Pelicans13c700.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.031668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Pelicans3c689.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Pelicans15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans14c646.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4524634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc923…e0d5backed Pelicans15c623.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c3…955abacked Pelicans15c593.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42dd…2d1dbacked Pelicans15c587.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked Pelicans14c577.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.912626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Pelicans3c542.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans11c509.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.781,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff2…47e6backed Pelicans2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Pelicans4c500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pelicans13c499.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Pelicans14c492.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0135532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…629fbacked Pelicans15c450.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…7eb5backed Pelicans14c450$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans7c423.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a69…30bfbacked Pelicans12c416.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Pelicans14c412.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.798030%24 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans14c400$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5445743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Pelicans14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans15c388$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pelicans13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Pelicans13c379$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2711459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Pelicans15c366.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef4…dbcdbacked Pelicans15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f62…ac75backed Pelicans15c330$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…45dfbacked Pelicans15c326.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans11c303$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…788abacked Pelicans15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e70…62ffbacked Pelicans14c290$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans15c267.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.143,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Pelicans15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405030%15 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Pelicans15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48b…1334backed Pelicans15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517031.8%54 W · 116 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Pelicans5c223.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fdc…0878backed Pelicans15c216.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…1654backed Pelicans13c210$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Pelicans15c204.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6824725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x749e…391dbacked Pelicans15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe12…de68backed Pelicans15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.