Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1107718b90388856a86c1fcfe5cc1bff821f9609bb9e020cf4eb381539a1fbc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 13c | 1,880$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.78 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,548$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 72c | 1,506$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,194$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.11 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…6c94backed Yes | 1c | 919.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 659.64$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 55c | 622.68$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 49c | 621.38$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 68c | 548.65$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 41c | 511.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 41c | 495.3$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 477.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 22c | 446.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.77 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 430.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 430$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 49c | 425.84$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 50c | 415.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 50c | 343.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 75c | 342.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 44c | 339$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 325.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked Yes | 46c | 289.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 282.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 268.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…8ed1backed No | 22c | 264.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 51c | 264.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked No | 50c | 262$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 64c | 254.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 19c | 244.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…89c7backed Yes | 57c | 242.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca4…d41abacked Yes | 40c | 235.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 44c | 230.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 16c | 226.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…ca06backed Yes | 47c | 226.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 32c | 211.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 210.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed Yes | 38c | 203.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 45c | 202.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 63c | 201.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Yes | 47c | 200.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…8994backed Yes | 41c | 196.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 58c | 195.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 64c | 180.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…03acbacked Yes | 43c | 176.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 42c | 175.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…2108backed Yes | 80c | 171.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 58c | 163.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…21a8backed Yes | 71c | 162.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed No | 62c | 162.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cde…b02bbacked No | 59c | 153.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…29e0backed No | 32c | 142.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 138.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 41c | 130.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 39c | 129.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 47c | 128.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 49c | 126.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 125.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 43c | 124.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…0d3dbacked Yes | 38c | 123.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…c08ebacked Yes | 48c | 119.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed No | 21c | 119.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 40c | 118.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 41c | 115.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…3b2ebacked Yes | 50c | 113.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 34c | 109.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed No | 52c | 104.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 65c | 104.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 65c | 103.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 103.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…7e34backed No | 67c | 101.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 33c | 100.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…a442backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 49c | 99.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…f70dbacked Yes | 44c | 97.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Yes | 52c | 97.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7080backed No | 58c | 97.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 61c | 95.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 53c | 95.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…7ca0backed No | 35c | 93.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 75c | 90.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 35c | 90.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 89.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…0560backed No | 52c | 88.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…ae95backed Yes | 55c | 86.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…c17abacked Yes | 46c | 83.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…d2f1backed Yes | 46c | 80.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 40c | 80.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 74.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.