Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x036ec2b0931c78519441d112ee4ca138868bf7091e59538fa4e1b06f431c1e4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 18c | 6,594$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.02 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 80c | 1,428$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 14c | 1,393$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 8c | 790.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 14c | 698.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 23c | 590.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 520.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 21c | 450.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 17c | 450.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 10c | 392.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 19c | 316.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 314.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 298.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked No | 80c | 247.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 237.91$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 77c | 220.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed Yes | 14c | 219.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed No | 78c | 198.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 191.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 189.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…7612backed Yes | 20c | 187.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 30c | 186.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 175.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 12c | 166.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 164.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…cb4ebacked Yes | 17c | 152.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 26c | 145.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 130.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 14c | 129.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 18c | 127.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 13c | 126.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 20c | 126.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 18c | 126.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed No | 80c | 123.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 24c | 121.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 80c | 121.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e0cbacked Yes | 22c | 110.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 22c | 109.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…a29abacked Yes | 22c | 107.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 78c | 106.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 73c | 105.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 13c | 103.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 23c | 100.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1260…b631backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…9d7abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…d052backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…7bc7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…d2f1backed Yes | 21c | 98.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 31c | 98.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…35a2backed No | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 15c | 97.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 96.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…be43backed Yes | 22c | 92.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 12c | 90.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 79c | 86.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…246dbacked No | 70c | 85.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 28c | 84.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 79c | 76.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 21c | 75.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed Yes | 22c | 75.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 20c | 72.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…6797backed Yes | 19c | 70.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 78c | 69.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…322fbacked Yes | 19c | 67.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec0…63d6backed Yes | 22c | 63.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 62.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…f2d0backed No | 78c | 62.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 78c | 61.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 25c | 61.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…c2c4backed Yes | 18c | 60.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked No | 78c | 57.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…31a3backed Yes | 30c | 57.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…8886backed No | 78c | 53.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…2e27backed No | 78c | 52.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 19c | 52.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked No | 77c | 50.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 77c | 49.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 76c | 49.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 29c | 48.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 22c | 45.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 25c | 45.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…95f8backed Yes | 33c | 42.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…ea14backed Yes | 30c | 41.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed No | 63c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 76c | 35.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 73c | 33.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 61c | 30.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…b209backed Yes | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -12.8wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked No | 70c | 27.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.