Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d57fd86e9d4a64a2f7fcb9d8ffd19fda1b0ae138ea08db03cab24537e440ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d0…98e2backed No | 0c | 10,801$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 0c | 4,757$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 17c | 2,281$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.07 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed No | 2c | 2,082$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 20c | 1,357$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.28 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 40c | 904.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.58 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed Yes | 32c | 775.66$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.74 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 606.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.31 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…f2d0backed Yes | 44c | 544.96$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 39c | 528.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.61 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 49c | 486.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…bfa8backed Yes | 9c | 454.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 33c | 429.66$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed Yes | 70c | 411.46$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 31c | 401.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 400.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 377.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.58 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 370.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 31c | 366.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 6c | 332.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 29c | 325.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.61 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 23c | 315.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 79c | 312.32$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 64c | 292.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 16c | 260.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.86 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 37c | 244.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 19c | 238.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 238.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 36c | 222.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 12c | 213.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…6690backed Yes | 35c | 211.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 62c | 200.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 15c | 199.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 15c | 198.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked Yes | 33c | 191.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…c17abacked Yes | 34c | 190.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 25c | 184.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 56c | 182.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 18c | 177.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 21c | 177.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 18c | 169.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 15c | 162.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 29c | 152.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 71c | 152.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 151.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 150.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…dae7backed Yes | 12c | 147.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +404.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…d445backed Yes | 22c | 144.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…8da4backed Yes | 13c | 140.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +677.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 140.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 10c | 140.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 48c | 137.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…d2f1backed Yes | 19c | 134.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 129.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 31c | 126.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…8994backed Yes | 33c | 120.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 11c | 115$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 32c | 114.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 28c | 111.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 79c | 110.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…0a7bbacked Yes | 11c | 109.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 21c | 109.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked No | 72c | 107.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 16c | 107.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b85abacked Yes | 22c | 104.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 28c | 100.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…ddccbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 28c | 99.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…76d5backed Yes | 27c | 98.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 51c | 97.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 22c | 97.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 58c | 96.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…4c83backed Yes | 22c | 96.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…ea14backed Yes | 25c | 96.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Yes | 19c | 94.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 20c | 93.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 50c | 93.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…6da7backed No | 54c | 89.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed No | 72c | 88.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 67c | 85.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 84.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 34c | 83.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 83.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…cf4dbacked Yes | 35c | 80.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 32c | 80.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 80.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 79.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…ca06backed Yes | 20c | 79.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…2402backed Yes | 33c | 78.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…7427backed Yes | 48c | 77.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 76.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 62c | 74.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 28c | 73.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked Yes | 40c | 73.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…c90cbacked Yes | 38c | 65.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.