Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f68f162b734292a44389ae9fd3763683e7ac5ab9e6c39a407b162a8a92815b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paarl Royalsof Pretoria Capitals, Paarl Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed Pretoria Capitals | 18c | 6,984$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.36 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pretoria Capitals | 2c | 4,981$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Pretoria Capitals | 11c | 2,389$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.14 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Paarl Royals | 45c | 1,516$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.68 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Paarl Royals | 45c | 999.43$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.69 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 967.78$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.65 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paarl Royals | 62c | 861.94$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…f896backed Pretoria Capitals | 18c | 728.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Paarl Royals | 57c | 670.88$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 422.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 46c | 410$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…36eebacked Paarl Royals | 58c | 400$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…6c58backed Pretoria Capitals | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Pretoria Capitals | 13c | 395.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Pretoria Capitals | 13c | 378.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paarl Royals | 43c | 359.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 358.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Pretoria Capitals | 7c | 320$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pretoria Capitals | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Paarl Royals | 51c | 235$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pretoria Capitals | 57c | 219.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…9faebacked Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 202$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…cb18backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 202$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…21ecbacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 201$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…7337backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 201$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Paarl Royals | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Paarl Royals | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Pretoria Capitals | 57c | 182.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Pretoria Capitals | 59c | 170.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 33c | 154.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pretoria Capitals | 12c | 145$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc5…e9afbacked Pretoria Capitals | 38c | 132.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 129.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Paarl Royals | 62c | 105.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…81b4backed Pretoria Capitals | 37c | 101.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Pretoria Capitals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Pretoria Capitals | 15c | 97.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Paarl Royals | 67c | 91.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…ded9backed Pretoria Capitals | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 50c | 79.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Paarl Royals | 48c | 78.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Paarl Royals | 52c | 60.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…6c16backed Pretoria Capitals | 57c | 56.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Pretoria Capitals | 57c | 56.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Pretoria Capitals | 36c | 50.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pretoria Capitals | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Pretoria Capitals | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 44c | 43.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…21e8backed Paarl Royals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ec4abacked Pretoria Capitals | 53c | 39.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Pretoria Capitals | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed Paarl Royals | 59c | 32.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…7237backed Paarl Royals | 74c | 28.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…e748backed Pretoria Capitals | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…619bbacked Pretoria Capitals | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…ff1fbacked Paarl Royals | 78c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.