Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bb50e71bedcefccd1d4485b519b81be7fdfd6696ff24fe95c1f0391fa5bd70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sri Lankaof Sri Lanka, Pakistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pakistan | 1c | 34,981$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pakistan | 1c | 3,794$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Pakistan | 54c | 3,589$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Sri Lanka | 45c | 3,566$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.82 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Sri Lanka | 60c | 2,492$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.05 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pakistan | 20c | 1,087$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Pakistan | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.14 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed Sri Lanka | 50c | 999.51$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.63 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…b5edbacked Pakistan | 33c | 878.55$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pakistan | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Pakistan | 7c | 520.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Pakistan | 20c | 499.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…619bbacked Pakistan | 9c | 479.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Pakistan | 12c | 425.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Pakistan | 56c | 374.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Pakistan | 13c | 359.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…30a1backed Sri Lanka | 58c | 344.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pakistan | 56c | 312.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Pakistan | 52c | 287.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…83aebacked Pakistan | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Sri Lanka | 46c | 282.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pakistan | 20c | 266.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pakistan | 17c | 259.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Pakistan | 38c | 200.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Pakistan | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Pakistan | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pakistan | 14c | 186.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Pakistan | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Pakistan | 54c | 169.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…970fbacked Sri Lanka | 69c | 165.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Sri Lanka | 78c | 163.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pakistan | 14c | 148.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Pakistan | 9c | 143.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…36babacked Pakistan | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…61a6backed Pakistan | 56c | 108.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Pakistan | 53c | 103.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Pakistan | 40c | 100.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Pakistan | 50c | 98.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…143dbacked Sri Lanka | 56c | 98.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Sri Lanka | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…20e2backed Sri Lanka | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pakistan | 56c | 74.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…6c58backed Pakistan | 44c | 71.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…0049backed Pakistan | 19c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Pakistan | 50c | 68.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…19a6backed Pakistan | 73c | 64.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…fc8bbacked Pakistan | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Pakistan | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…0e41backed Pakistan | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…1e25backed Sri Lanka | 77c | 36.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Pakistan | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…290bbacked Pakistan | 57c | 33.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…7864backed Sri Lanka | 54c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…4dc7backed Sri Lanka | 79c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Pakistan | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…291ebacked Pakistan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…53c3backed Sri Lanka | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.