NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8130ec3af382f796d9ab8617f1576adaffa42efc35c83c57339644f6a635ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Severstal Cherepovetsof Severstal Cherepovets, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 1,704$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 1,584$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 657.77$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.35 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 537.41$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 477$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 44c | 443.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Dinamo Minsk | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 398.66$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 252.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 232.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 185.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Dinamo Minsk | 19c | 163.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Severstal Cherepovets | 54c | 150.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…3c68backed Severstal Cherepovets | 41c | 79.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf357…c655backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 55.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 39.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 36.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…d4afbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Dinamo Minsk | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.