Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5d1aee2bb57effc8b8d264fbe774037b1812d9639f19fa6c07f149a525d198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pretoria Capitalsof Joburg Super Kings, Pretoria Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pretoria Capitals | 28c | 3,845$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.22 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 62c | 1,671$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.64 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Joburg Super Kings | 73c | 1,648$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 1,162$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.15 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Pretoria Capitals | 15c | 1,118$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.08 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Joburg Super Kings | 23c | 1,026$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Pretoria Capitals | 69c | 919.97$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.65 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Joburg Super Kings | 72c | 905.39$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.88 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 730.65$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Pretoria Capitals | 69c | 718.29$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Joburg Super Kings | 65c | 638.91$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Joburg Super Kings | 49c | 563.61$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 549.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.04 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Joburg Super Kings | 35c | 445.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 355.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Joburg Super Kings | 62c | 338.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 28c | 325.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 64c | 306.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Pretoria Capitals | 35c | 304.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Joburg Super Kings | 49c | 261.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Joburg Super Kings | 10c | 216.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Pretoria Capitals | 51c | 215.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Pretoria Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Joburg Super Kings | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…1420backed Pretoria Capitals | 25c | 193.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Pretoria Capitals | 29c | 186.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 52c | 144.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 127.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Joburg Super Kings | 80c | 119.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Joburg Super Kings | 46c | 113.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pretoria Capitals | 54c | 111.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pretoria Capitals | 54c | 100.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Pretoria Capitals | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Pretoria Capitals | 20c | 60.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Pretoria Capitals | 61c | 51.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Pretoria Capitals | 48c | 51.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Pretoria Capitals | 70c | 50.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Joburg Super Kings | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…5082backed Joburg Super Kings | 76c | 49.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Pretoria Capitals | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…fd19backed Joburg Super Kings | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…9adcbacked Joburg Super Kings | 69c | 37.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…20e2backed Joburg Super Kings | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 56c | 29.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Joburg Super Kings | 53c | 25.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e10ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3e…c8bfbacked Joburg Super Kings | 77c | 15.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.