Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba31eaf1ac1f17fd1dc60a72f0e5976281fc869360349008caba026885572bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Inner Circle | 1c | 2,651$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Spirit Academy | 24c | 2,233$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.39 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Inner Circle | 67c | 2,120$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.43 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 2,094$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.65 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Inner Circle | 53c | 1,913$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.65 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 1,557$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Inner Circle | 66c | 1,493$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Inner Circle | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Spirit Academy | 11c | 1,055$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Inner Circle | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Spirit Academy | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +462.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Inner Circle | 1c | 952.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Inner Circle | 3c | 950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Inner Circle | 8c | 950$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 800.63$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 759$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 717.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed Inner Circle | 43c | 658.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Inner Circle | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Inner Circle | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 548.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 528.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Inner Circle | 64c | 501.95$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Spirit Academy | 36c | 481.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.73 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Inner Circle | 67c | 423.8$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Inner Circle | 67c | 372.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 350$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 315.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.32 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Inner Circle | 79c | 302.49$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit Academy | 36c | 283.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Spirit Academy | 36c | 280.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked Spirit Academy | 17c | 279.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Inner Circle | 49c | 266.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 260$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Inner Circle | 65c | 254.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Spirit Academy | 44c | 252.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Spirit Academy | 44c | 250.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Inner Circle | 56c | 224.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Spirit Academy | 13c | 214.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Inner Circle | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Inner Circle | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Spirit Academy | 24c | 199.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…324abacked Inner Circle | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 145.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Spirit Academy | 44c | 138.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 132.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 125.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 112.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 112.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 111.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…81cbbacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Inner Circle | 65c | 86.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 81.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…cf6cbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 78.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle | 63c | 74.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit Academy | 36c | 70.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…c687backed Inner Circle | 43c | 68.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 59.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Inner Circle | 55c | 59.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Inner Circle | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 53.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…3ca1backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 51.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Inner Circle | 53c | 50.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…a315backed Inner Circle | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6893…65f6backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Inner Circle | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 49.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Inner Circle | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Inner Circle | 65c | 38.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Inner Circle | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked Inner Circle | 57c | 35.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Inner Circle | 60c | 33.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Inner Circle | 51c | 30.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Inner Circle | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Inner Circle | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…b109backed Inner Circle | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Inner Circle | 67c | 28.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 27.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d5…1300backed Inner Circle | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…67c3backed Inner Circle | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…685dbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…509cbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 24.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 21.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…2dafbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Inner Circle | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Inner Circle | 69c | 19.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.