TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Melbourne Starsof Melbourne Renegades, Melbourne Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x490e…73adbacked Melbourne Renegades5c12,545$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6226130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Melbourne Stars72c7,404$5,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.849851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Melbourne Renegades0c4,088$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.933698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Melbourne Renegades37c3,220$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.5233042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Melbourne Renegades41c2,728$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.859154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Stars60c1,902$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.922552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Melbourne Renegades34c1,832$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7532337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Melbourne Renegades10c1,697$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.762015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Melbourne Stars59c1,682$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.8918257.1%104 W · 78 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Melbourne Stars55c1,567$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.142850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Melbourne Renegades39c1,260$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Melbourne Renegades25c1,218$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5676251.6%393 W · 369 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Melbourne Renegades33c971.48$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1110953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Melbourne Stars62c952.6$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1312534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Melbourne Renegades32c916.42$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2667631.4%212 W · 464 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Melbourne Renegades3c892.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071106.4%7 W · 103 L-18.5wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-57.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Melbourne Renegades34c788.1$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2672740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Melbourne Stars61c676.4$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.561560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Melbourne Renegades38c673.14$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.56521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Melbourne Stars60c649.27$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.657349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Melbourne Stars59c605$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1515451.3%79 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Melbourne Renegades45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Melbourne Renegades39c510$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.217444.8%78 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Melbourne Stars60c502.33$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9328749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Melbourne Renegades33c414.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4732846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Melbourne Renegades34c408$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.723721.6%8 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Melbourne Renegades42c385.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.888860.2%53 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Melbourne Renegades5c358.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6822141.6%92 W · 129 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Melbourne Renegades39c316.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.324022.5%9 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Melbourne Stars55c252.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.362339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Melbourne Stars62c237.38$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9110644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Melbourne Stars50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109849%48 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Melbourne Renegades45c219.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Melbourne Renegades50c200.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Melbourne Renegades43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35c…221fbacked Melbourne Renegades27c178.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.379546.3%44 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Melbourne Stars67c165.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4119843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Melbourne Stars61c162.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9319956.3%112 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8678…b755backed Melbourne Stars61c158.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7815561.9%96 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b12…8a30backed Melbourne Renegades16c149.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.294027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf062…7eb9backed Melbourne Stars67c148.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.842931%9 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Melbourne Renegades45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Melbourne Renegades46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab21…cd27backed Melbourne Renegades40c121.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494040%16 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Melbourne Stars61c117.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2420342.4%86 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d0…7c58backed Melbourne Renegades40c109.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Melbourne Stars66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.614431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d5…aa48backed Melbourne Renegades36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a0…440cbacked Melbourne Renegades34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Melbourne Stars54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4632315.8%51 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Melbourne Stars59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.663346.3%293 W · 340 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Melbourne Renegades46c87.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.917643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Melbourne Stars58c79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd407…0e41backed Melbourne Stars59c69.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Melbourne Stars79c63.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.267553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2634…3a4abacked Melbourne Stars67c62.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd82…fc8bbacked Melbourne Renegades18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…c2d3backed Melbourne Renegades38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Melbourne Stars76c56.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Melbourne Stars75c56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.865749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70de…5688backed Melbourne Renegades39c55.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Melbourne Stars61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.342729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf00…6767backed Melbourne Renegades40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3820…1819backed Melbourne Renegades31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145036%18 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799a…f4d0backed Melbourne Renegades47c43.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5311342.5%48 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Melbourne Renegades48c42.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.584459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec95…156dbacked Melbourne Renegades40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd8…e7d4backed Melbourne Stars75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f04…ecb3backed Melbourne Stars75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b0…69cabacked Melbourne Renegades34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6a…519abacked Melbourne Renegades41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Melbourne Stars60c34.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.824360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf618…ba85backed Melbourne Stars60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e88…b234backed Melbourne Stars61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Melbourne Stars58c29.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb469…9e8fbacked Melbourne Stars60c29.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.814853.4%79 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab18…4cb9backed Melbourne Stars54c27.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…56bebacked Melbourne Stars75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Melbourne Stars55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.310045%45 W · 55 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe93c…b6d8backed Melbourne Stars72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…58a8backed Melbourne Stars52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed Melbourne Stars67c20.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Melbourne Stars64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe2…8967backed Melbourne Stars75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe9…f733backed Melbourne Stars62c18.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.