Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416a91b598bf49dc7ceab6e342562b4f6a9a0cc8e75cdf4e0f9e43a0e2d5574a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brisbane Heatof Brisbane Heat, Adelaide Strikers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adelaide Strikers | 41c | 4,445$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.68 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Brisbane Heat | 48c | 3,893$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 61c | 3,702$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.86 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Brisbane Heat | 48c | 2,955$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Brisbane Heat | 63c | 1,427$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Brisbane Heat | 46c | 1,274$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Adelaide Strikers | 60c | 1,141$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.89 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Brisbane Heat | 68c | 1,027$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…3a11backed Brisbane Heat | 41c | 993.14$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Adelaide Strikers | 2c | 940.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Adelaide Strikers | 53c | 940.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Brisbane Heat | 46c | 785.43$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.43 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 43c | 703.59$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Adelaide Strikers | 24c | 656.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 51c | 554.15$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Adelaide Strikers | 38c | 549.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 53c | 366.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Brisbane Heat | 50c | 309$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Adelaide Strikers | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…53e2backed Brisbane Heat | 50c | 264.28$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Brisbane Heat | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Adelaide Strikers | 62c | 238$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 49c | 235.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Adelaide Strikers | 66c | 215$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…5ea3backed Brisbane Heat | 44c | 204.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Brisbane Heat | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Brisbane Heat | 51c | 196.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Brisbane Heat | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Brisbane Heat | 54c | 191$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Brisbane Heat | 10c | 186.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Adelaide Strikers | 49c | 174.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Adelaide Strikers | 44c | 172.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Brisbane Heat | 48c | 168.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Brisbane Heat | 32c | 155$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…3dc5backed Adelaide Strikers | 64c | 146.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Brisbane Heat | 33c | 135$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Brisbane Heat | 47c | 121.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…2fd9backed Adelaide Strikers | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Adelaide Strikers | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Brisbane Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Adelaide Strikers | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…088dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Adelaide Strikers | 50c | 77.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Brisbane Heat | 29c | 64.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Brisbane Heat | 27c | 54.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Brisbane Heat | 46c | 52.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Adelaide Strikers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Brisbane Heat | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 23c | 49.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 40.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Brisbane Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Adelaide Strikers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Adelaide Strikers | 65c | 35.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Brisbane Heat | 45c | 34.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…a337backed Adelaide Strikers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…4e5dbacked Brisbane Heat | 54c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Adelaide Strikers | 51c | 23.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…3e56backed Adelaide Strikers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Brisbane Heat | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…e1c9backed Adelaide Strikers | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Adelaide Strikers | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.