Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Dubai Capitals vs Gulf Giants (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb189e2fbdbaa1db02b79bdb27c9bda95cf7a423359c902dca7c836d40bc6d6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dubai Capitalsof Dubai Capitals, Gulf Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Dubai Capitals | 74c | 2,716$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Gulf Giants | 29c | 1,980$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gulf Giants | 32c | 1,245$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gulf Giants | 26c | 600.72$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gulf Giants | 22c | 565.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Gulf Giants | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Dubai Capitals | 67c | 446.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Gulf Giants | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Dubai Capitals | 55c | 284.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Gulf Giants | 35c | 256.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Gulf Giants | 26c | 243.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Dubai Capitals | 74c | 234.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Dubai Capitals | 74c | 169.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Dubai Capitals | 73c | 153.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Gulf Giants | 38c | 151.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Dubai Capitals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…7068backed Gulf Giants | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fde…f7adbacked Dubai Capitals | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Dubai Capitals | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…0afabacked Gulf Giants | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Dubai Capitals | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Gulf Giants | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Gulf Giants | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Gulf Giants | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dubai Capitals | 50c | 38.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…1275backed Dubai Capitals | 65c | 33.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Gulf Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Dubai Capitals | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.