Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2c9a9566f1d63f7903be50cf09bea220ee49ec4d77fb70dd658985611acc21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Desert Vipersof Sharjah Warriorz, Desert Vipers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Desert Vipers | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Desert Vipers | 75c | 3,435$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.96 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sharjah Warriorz | 34c | 2,083$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.49 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Sharjah Warriorz | 3c | 1,205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Sharjah Warriorz | 19c | 794.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Desert Vipers | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sharjah Warriorz | 21c | 325.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Sharjah Warriorz | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Sharjah Warriorz | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Sharjah Warriorz | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…978abacked Sharjah Warriorz | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sharjah Warriorz | 11c | 282.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Sharjah Warriorz | 34c | 226.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Desert Vipers | 63c | 199.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sharjah Warriorz | 19c | 160.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Desert Vipers | 78c | 146.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Sharjah Warriorz | 16c | 141.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…2fd9backed Sharjah Warriorz | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Desert Vipers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Desert Vipers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Desert Vipers | 78c | 128.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Sharjah Warriorz | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Desert Vipers | 61c | 72.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…9442backed Desert Vipers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…80dabacked Desert Vipers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…e5ccbacked Desert Vipers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Desert Vipers | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)this page
- ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1) - Completed match?Yes won
- ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Desert Vipers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.