World Politics · resolved market
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18b1b9c7ffca0f781bce2fe53538bb5b752fd41ec4757c9047e1a097ccfff1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 0c | 43,840$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 5c | 42,276$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.48 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 34,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 5c | 21,258$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.47 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 17,691$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.82 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…92abbacked No | 26c | 10,609$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 4c | 9,791$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.75 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…2551backed No | 6c | 8,745$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…4775backed No | 3c | 8,371$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b067backed No | 46c | 7,319$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 7c | 7,150$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.08 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 7c | 6,378$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.69 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8880…ecc2backed No | 4c | 6,220$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed No | 5c | 5,773$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c92fbacked No | 6c | 5,099$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 4,762$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.54 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 4c | 4,731$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…d48cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,740$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8389backed Yes | 74c | 3,713$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…38dbbacked No | 4c | 3,638$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…65abbacked No | 4c | 3,619$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…912dbacked Yes | 74c | 3,300$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 20c | 3,228$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.79 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…4233backed No | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…3dc3backed No | 3c | 3,187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 8c | 3,183$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…9595backed No | 4c | 3,103$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…fd9fbacked No | 2c | 2,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed No | 6c | 2,497$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 3c | 2,439$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 2,315$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…c4e5backed No | 1c | 2,146$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…99ecbacked No | 1c | 1,840$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 4c | 1,812$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 7c | 1,800$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 6c | 1,701$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…2ed0backed No | 3c | 1,669$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 1,666$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 3c | 1,654$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…f6e3backed Yes | 64c | 1,556$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked No | 4c | 1,543$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 6c | 1,519$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb1…085cbacked No | 5c | 1,511$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a91…ee61backed No | 7c | 1,509$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,468$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed No | 4c | 1,455$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…7d63backed No | 3c | 1,446$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 1,418$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…76aebacked No | 3c | 1,366$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 4c | 1,363$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…7b08backed No | 6c | 1,318$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 5c | 1,287$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 4c | 1,224$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…f7abbacked No | 4c | 1,153$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 3c | 1,148$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked No | 4c | 1,076$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 6c | 1,036$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…df18backed No | 3c | 1,006$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…cd4bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +963.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 3c | 957$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 12c | 943.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked No | 7c | 868.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…467fbacked No | 3c | 853.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 3c | 825.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 4c | 779.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 6c | 764.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a1…33b2backed No | 9c | 758.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked Yes | 6c | 754.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +793.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…8cefbacked No | 7c | 744.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 11c | 715.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 5c | 659.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0908…1550backed No | 5c | 624.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…2afdbacked No | 19c | 616.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 8c | 599.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…e3a4backed No | 4c | 553.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…5f0abacked No | 5c | 521.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…9883backed No | 5c | 499.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…dc66backed No | 5c | 491.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 5c | 467.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…1cc0backed No | 6c | 465.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…82ddbacked No | 5c | 465.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…dfe3backed Yes | 78c | 463.08$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eea…8a4dbacked No | 5c | 462.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 6c | 460.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 15c | 456.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x212f…a834backed Yes | 73c | 432.14$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…b098backed No | 3c | 417.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 49c | 407.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…42a9backed No | 16c | 405.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…5943backed No | 12c | 387.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…2c52backed No | 3c | 369.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 4c | 360$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 339$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…c772backed Yes | 74c | 336.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 4c | 332.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 3c | 329.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c48…5015backed No | 6c | 318.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?this page
- Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No won
- Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No won
- Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.