World Politics · resolved market
Will the Jatiya Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa4a204fd02da0f089e1138aede15d407c48b3cb08ac8f85de60dd57226d2af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 7c | 798.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 18c | 583$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…d7eabacked Yes | 14c | 477.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 13c | 402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 21c | 167.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…93fbbacked Yes | 17c | 117.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…3b73backed Yes | 24c | 103.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 102.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…b47bbacked Yes | 17c | 63.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Jatiya Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?this page
- Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No won
- Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No won
- Will the National Citizen Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.