World Politics · resolved market
Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135c3434f8bd752c0f1af97dfcc4a7f38b3fa4d6006e3443a490da3f569d2a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 69c | 812$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 31c | 564$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked No | 69c | 459$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked Yes | 31c | 423$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 31c | 238.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 83.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 69c | 42.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…3921backed No | 61c | 38.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed No | 64c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?this page
- Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Jatiya Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No won
- Will the National Citizen Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.