TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x752e…b1b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9231.5%29 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$502.6
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$58.11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$273.2
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$145.16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$963
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.22
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,376.85
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,422.7
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$477
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$325.33
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$252.81
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$3,467.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.44
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+327.5%+$1,146.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+402.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+905.3%+$970.73
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,633.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,862.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.