Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef89daaa01f57805dc319296f7a692c2c11963237d650d82a4f73b2bcafc2d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Nigma Galaxy, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 7,047$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.43 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 3,004$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.24 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 2,496$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.76 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 2,186$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.68 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 1,540$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.19 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,440$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.28 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 1,422$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.59 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 1,396$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 1,243$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.37 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,186$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.74 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 1,086$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.86 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 890.55$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 773.27$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.31 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 722.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.68 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 719.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 710.02$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.55 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Pipsqueak+4 | 75c | 700.58$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.11 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 645.49$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 598.36$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 590.69$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 556.11$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 537.66$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.57 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 514.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 465.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.4 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 464.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 441.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 399.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 391.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 391.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 382.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 349.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 49c | 312.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 281.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 254$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 213.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 205$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 178.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 176.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 168.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 59c | 165.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 161.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 154.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 152$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 146.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…4e20backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 144.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…8436backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 123.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 121.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…81afbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 49c | 116.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 109.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 104.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 99.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 32c | 96.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 96.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 89.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 77.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 74.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 69.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 64.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 64.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 59.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 56.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 51.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 51.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 49.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 48.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 47.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 46.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 45.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f00…6628backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 40.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 39.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 36.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 34.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 33.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…eb03backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 31.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 30.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 29.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.