Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5abc0c28d385197ef43bc093311c4b13674e67b29d907741c541cef7778677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Nigma Galaxy, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 10,970$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.81 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 5,659$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.11 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 5,296$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.67 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 4,057$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 3,998$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.51 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 3,625$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 2,870$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.4 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,741$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.37 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 1,501$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.61 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 1,309$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.61 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,148$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,138$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.08 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,064$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Pipsqueak+4 | 74c | 1,006$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.85 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 980.02$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 956.57$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.67 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 832.43$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.57 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 815.41$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.06 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 806.48$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.01 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 754.74$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.46 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 676.53$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 511.72$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.73 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 432.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 426.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 399.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 398.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 393.43$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 365.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 364.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 360.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 333.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 333.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 330.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 305.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 297.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 283.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 280.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 260.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 248.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 247.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 235.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 234.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 233.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 230.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 209.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 190.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 186.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 183.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 181.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 173.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 172.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 159.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 153.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 151.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 148.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 147.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 142.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 138.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 136.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 127.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 124.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 120.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 118.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 113.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 107.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 106.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 101.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 100.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 98.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 96.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 95.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 95.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 92.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 92.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 87.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 79.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 79.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 78.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 78.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 77.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 76.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 69.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.