Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368a011404329eb5a2a54d3b3275c8207b3ed50cfc21cecfa34ae34c8e39c691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 13,509$8,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,053.51 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 9,537$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.94 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 6,962$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.83 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 6,080$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.62 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,164$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.26 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 2,228$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.02 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 1,932$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.84 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 1,743$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.29 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 1,428$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.6 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 1,265$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 1,265$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,254$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 1,089$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 1,088$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 982.47$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.98 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 843.08$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.74 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…8e92backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 725.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 678.75$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 3c | 650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 636.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 634.4$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 626.21$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 572.66$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 536.8$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 529.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 512.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 493.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 58c | 447.73$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 413.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 401.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.91 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 397.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 366.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 342.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 333.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 316.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 278.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 269.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 237.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 198.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 195.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…8cc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 165.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 159.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 149.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 146.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 117.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 110.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 96.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 82.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 81.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 80.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 73.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 70.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 68.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 68.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 68.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 66.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 59.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 54.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 54.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 46cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 52.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 52.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 51.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…1734backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 50.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 50.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 49.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 45.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 40.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…42f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…4e20backed Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 39.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 39.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 36.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 36.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 32.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…d718backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 29.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 26.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…bdd5backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 26.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 25.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 23.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.