Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b5f5ac8544d98e042981207857a7865b11aec87e1fce9a1a1c31b7139a95f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Over | 44c | 14,890$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.81 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 56c | 13,627$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,001.98 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 44c | 3,327$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.23 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 2,374$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.63 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 1,579$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.76 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Under | 37c | 975.2$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.38 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Over | 63c | 886.31$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.37 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 680 | 49%333 W · 347 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 55c | 426.58$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 57c | 371.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Under | 45c | 325.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 58c | 309.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Over | 68c | 212.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.73 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 44c | 209.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 44c | 196.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 36c | 196.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 154.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 68c | 144.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…3ad3backed Over | 43c | 99.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 57c | 95.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 32c | 67.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 57.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…0b95backed Over | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 55c | 40.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 58c | 39.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 44c | 38.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…2052backed Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…eac9backed Over | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 57c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.