TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim Red Forceof Dplus KIA, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed Nongshim Red Force55c18,736$10,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,431.1821448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nongshim Red Force53c11,318$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,368.541,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Dplus KIA45c10,207$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.2525447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Dplus KIA50c9,285$4,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.1566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Dplus KIA45c8,701$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.385234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Dplus KIA46c5,956$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.0911645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nongshim Red Force54c5,110$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.7714848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Dplus KIA44c3,479$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.586741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Nongshim Red Force54c2,917$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.9115543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nongshim Red Force52c2,495$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.121,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Dplus KIA44c2,250$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nongshim Red Force52c1,899$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.7170456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed Nongshim Red Force55c1,793$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.981376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Dplus KIA47c1,662$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.4363458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA1c1,523$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.232,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Nongshim Red Force56c1,217$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.4832145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Nongshim Red Force53c1,201$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6712454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nongshim Red Force52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57676953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Nongshim Red Force54c1,177$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.4630050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Dplus KIA43c1,110$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Dplus KIA47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51731337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Dplus KIA47c1,084$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6612347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim Red Force51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Nongshim Red Force55c955.09$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7915545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3c…5727backed Dplus KIA48c906.72$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.224146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a9…5e9ebacked Nongshim Red Force55c882.25$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+91.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Nongshim Red Force59c827.2$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.512259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Dplus KIA46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36818244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dplus KIA44c800$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35464749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Nongshim Red Force56c766.31$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1843640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Dplus KIA44c711.73$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1649940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Nongshim Red Force53c640$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.821154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Dplus KIA46c599.97$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.995865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Dplus KIA48c545.43$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.817160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Nongshim Red Force50c540.95$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.481,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Dplus KIA45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22529240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Nongshim Red Force55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22539750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Nongshim Red Force56c490.28$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7284360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Nongshim Red Force54c457.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.233839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Nongshim Red Force53c441.23$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0917136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Dplus KIA46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Nongshim Red Force54c419.69$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Nongshim Red Force54c400.52$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.241,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Dplus KIA46c399.98$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9952045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Dplus KIA45c339.52$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7947951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nongshim Red Force51c322.21$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6696054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nongshim Red Force49c307.35$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5859248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Dplus KIA45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Nongshim Red Force56c295.97$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2316251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Dplus KIA51c294.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Dplus KIA47c283.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.332955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Nongshim Red Force56c274.69$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8722747.6%108 W · 119 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA48c268.61$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.651,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Dplus KIA48c242.9$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.594763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Dplus KIA47c236.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3492342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Nongshim Red Force54c234.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6880832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Dplus KIA48c230.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.688058.8%47 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Dplus KIA48c215.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.665152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Dplus KIA45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.77856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nongshim Red Force54c213.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4148852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Dplus KIA47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.112568%17 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Dplus KIA46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7682161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Nongshim Red Force52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9663646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Dplus KIA47c196.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.483946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA29c189.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.212,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Dplus KIA48c187.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.214759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Nongshim Red Force50c179.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8739450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Dplus KIA11c178.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Nongshim Red Force56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.526155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Dplus KIA48c173.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.243956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Dplus KIA48c173.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.245955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd1…3f34backed Nongshim Red Force54c161.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.352931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Dplus KIA37c158.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.627512%9 W · 66 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Dplus KIA48c151.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6625240.1%101 W · 151 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Dplus KIA48c145.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.757865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed Nongshim Red Force73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3917060.6%103 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Dplus KIA42c134.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3337641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Dplus KIA48c131.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.975265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Nongshim Red Force53c128.09$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.215255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Dplus KIA40c125.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.374949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nongshim Red Force55c123.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Dplus KIA44c116.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.392544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Nongshim Red Force65c116.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.87245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Dplus KIA48c116.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.810355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Dplus KIA45c116.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2210631.1%33 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Dplus KIA43c109.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2532939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Dplus KIA48c106.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.153056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Dplus KIA40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nongshim Red Force55c98.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4934945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Nongshim Red Force56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8475738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Dplus KIA48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.514561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Nongshim Red Force60c96.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.731250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Dplus KIA30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.744042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Dplus KIA50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.538257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Nongshim Red Force54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.425740.4%23 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Nongshim Red Force65c89.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6428652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Dplus KIA47c87.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.951,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Nongshim Red Force54c81.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2821140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Dplus KIA48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7564435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Dplus KIA48c73.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.342955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.