Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e5751698b4f72d8d390f77203077e1e70c45efee2b0a9235c72f18b2bd8498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,476 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 38,803$20,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,795.54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 17,440$8,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,371.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…0169backed Over | 54c | 15,000$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 10,362$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.63 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Under | 48c | 6,540$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…1897backed Under | 46c | 5,099$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 48c | 4,771$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 1,820$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 46c | 1,532$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 1,411$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.28 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 48c | 725$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 51c | 579.57$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.42 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…78f6backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 366.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 53c | 341.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 46c | 295.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 53c | 220.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…7e14backed Over | 48c | 97.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 76.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 53c | 70.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 55c | 54.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 54c | 52.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 48.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed3…6948backed Under | 48c | 40.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…78aabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…8e00backed Over | 53c | 37.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…4af6backed Under | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.