Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4b8bc7f2ac605272fe8ba4e139bcfa5118edbcd2c4a6eed539cc94c1213b07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,128 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4268…0169backed Over | 79c | 31,194$24,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,742.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 21c | 24,476$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,405.77 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 80c | 5,100$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.66 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 20c | 2,080$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.28 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 21c | 1,800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 20c | 1,697$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.6 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Under | 21c | 1,420$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 21c | 1,110$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.9 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 21c | 1,100$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 20c | 715$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.9 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Under | 20c | 540$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Under | 21c | 532$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.28 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Over | 76c | 500$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…cf74backed Over | 77c | 330.42$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…991abacked Over | 77c | 319.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 24c | 296.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 19c | 246.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Under | 21c | 156$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed Over | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…7e14backed Over | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Under | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Under | 20c | 123$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 102.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6370…44e1backed Over | 77c | 91.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 23c | 86.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 40c | 77.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 20c | 71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…f240backed Over | 76c | 70.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 20c | 68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 24c | 65.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 25c | 62.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 76c | 58.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 25c | 48.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Under | 36c | 45.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 43.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 79c | 42.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…9a41backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.