TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
French Flairof Galions, French Flair
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed French Flair49c24,266$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,265.9223351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Galions50c5,585$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.3531153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked French Flair55c4,290$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.011,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Galions43c3,836$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.522,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked French Flair50c3,827$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.766063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed French Flair58c3,722$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.8341644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Galions37c3,579$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.041,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions44c3,433$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.771,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked French Flair52c3,038$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.8266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Galions1c2,409$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0915433.1%51 W · 103 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Galions43c2,104$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.0969756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Galions52c2,079$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.0818350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a70…f85fbacked Galions50c2,010$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Galions51c1,760$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.3766942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Galions50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Galions50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75082954.5%452 W · 377 L+3.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair52c1,400$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.72,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Galions41c1,374$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.7524065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Galions49c1,318$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.8541433.6%139 W · 275 L-30.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Galions46c1,249$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.3828361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Galions50c1,158$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.182,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1918…9568backed French Flair51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Galions50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Galions48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Galions51c1,000$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Galions47c1,000$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6479653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90a…5dfdbacked Galions50c989.21$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked French Flair51c974.64$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.699238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Galions52c930$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Galions36c903.5$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.922,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Galions6c895.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1248042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Galions52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41618347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Galions34c723.13$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9213355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed French Flair52c712.58$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1110240.2%41 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed French Flair62c707.68$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.544843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed French Flair61c685.07$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0730348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions36c650$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed French Flair49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Galions52c585$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.81,04944.6%468 W · 581 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galions48c562$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.71,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair69c557.48$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.461,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked French Flair67c546.72$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed French Flair51c498$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0214650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Galions50c491.7$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8518549.7%92 W · 93 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed French Flair51c460.3$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.551,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e30…d50abacked Galions52c402$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Galions50c401.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions14c342.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.952,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Galions45c342.34$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.211,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Galions47c327.64$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6657947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed Galions50c312.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.423438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Galions51c305.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0316325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Galions49c299.97$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9961343.6%267 W · 346 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Galions52c272$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Galions50c260.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6940347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Galions46c259.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7748243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Galions50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12053649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Galions51c239.77$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2815056%84 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d40…2230backed Galions50c232$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked French Flair66c227.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7341553.3%221 W · 194 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Galions45c223.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Galions29c222.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed French Flair52c209.62$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6210838%41 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Galions35c209$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.645541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked Galions50c205$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-68%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Galions49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2c…2418backed Galions50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galions49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Galions51c195.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ad…f4b8backed Galions23c183.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.192240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed French Flair70c157.61$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.648962.9%56 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Galions52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7831829.2%93 W · 225 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Galions38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked French Flair50c130.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.448749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58e…5b7ebacked Galions39c128.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Galions23c127.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Galions29c120.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Galions48c118.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5734250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Galions31c116$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9117040.6%69 W · 101 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed French Flair62c104.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0128552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Galions13c103.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.517935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Galions49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Galions50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018440.8%75 W · 109 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Galions51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127632.6%90 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…9594backed French Flair52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Galions52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.839832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d05bbacked French Flair50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb246…d98abacked Galions18c88.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.944040%16 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb8…6c31backed French Flair59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Galions49c78.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4330247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked French Flair52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9258649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Galions50c70.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Galions50c64.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.394647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Galions52c61.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Galions46c60.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6222349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Galions47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Galions52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303050%15 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Galions20c57.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3328040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.