Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a0a6d3fb4701515aec8d524f08639444c1bb4d12f71f340ed5486da60c4cee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde75…f039backed Yes | 21c | 79,032$16,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,596.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 37,699$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.32 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…f671backed No | 79c | 22,552$17,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…39d7backed No | 79c | 21,425$16,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…9eabbacked No | 79c | 20,628$16,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…f01dbacked No | 79c | 19,927$15,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,243$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,113$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Yes | 12c | 6,286$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…157dbacked Yes | 21c | 5,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 6c | 4,230$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed No | 47c | 2,026$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.77 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…1cb6backed Yes | 58c | 1,952$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 13c | 1,831$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 1,735$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked No | 71c | 1,613$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 14c | 1,529$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…19dcbacked No | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 15c | 1,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 13c | 1,327$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 1,296$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 1,120$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 1,038$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 16c | 1,013$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 16c | 981$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 16c | 969$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 17c | 936.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 74c | 903.58$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe441…c9b7backed Yes | 23c | 886.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed No | 59c | 861.39$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 14c | 727.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 9c | 699.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed No | 58c | 671$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.73 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 4c | 555$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 534.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 9c | 499.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 40c | 489.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c27ebacked Yes | 3c | 448.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed No | 73c | 428.21$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 8c | 406.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 19c | 315.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 9c | 270.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…b24ebacked No | 79c | 256.38$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 66c | 229.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 216.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 16c | 210$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…5ccdbacked Yes | 59c | 207.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 37c | 199.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…b547backed Yes | 11c | 194.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 35c | 189.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…ed13backed Yes | 31c | 181$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…44c7backed Yes | 19c | 167.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…b560backed Yes | 25c | 166$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 156.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 65c | 152.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…5cbebacked No | 54c | 152.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 151$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…6967backed Yes | 17c | 123.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…5a0bbacked Yes | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Yes | 33c | 116.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…138bbacked Yes | 17c | 112.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes | 59c | 101.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0012…bff8backed Yes | 19c | 98.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…7ae5backed No | 80c | 87.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 17c | 74.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a2c2backed Yes | 20c | 68.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…2afcbacked Yes | 28c | 61.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…e297backed Yes | 23c | 58.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Yes | 22c | 58.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23aa…d48fbacked No | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ae…c9ffbacked Yes | 21c | 56.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…5eb1backed Yes | 24c | 54.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…aa2fbacked Yes | 21c | 50.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…3be1backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…2bbcbacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…1ad9backed Yes | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d278backed Yes | 54c | 42.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…3116backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…f959backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…6270backed Yes | 30c | 34.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked Yes | 54c | 33.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…61c2backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed No | 62c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…2c06backed No | 62c | 32.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e1fdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +120%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 40c | 29.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…5f3dbacked Yes | 35c | 28.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.