Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350fc3d1e85f9355610899a61b8893a93f25579f1b0a4e0807a9f2f7b761795c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,232 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x396d…46bebacked Yes | 36c | 3,014$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…d184backed Yes | 36c | 3,002$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…c352backed Yes | 36c | 3,002$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…2046backed No | 64c | 1,511$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…6674backed No | 64c | 1,504$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb4…fc7fbacked No | 64c | 1,503$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…17e4backed No | 64c | 1,502$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…6e0dbacked No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…8ab9backed No | 64c | 1,498$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 60c | 1,466$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.3 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 41c | 791.77$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 31c | 685.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 2c | 685.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…20c6backed No | 65c | 493.98$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 379.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 23c | 355.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 37c | 249$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 32c | 203.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 6c | 202.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 52c | 198.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…628cbacked No | 75c | 186.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 15c | 183$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 68c | 174.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 65c | 164.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 68c | 146.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 24c | 140.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 70c | 128.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 116.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 57c | 116.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…7825backed No | 68c | 103.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 36c | 102.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…970ebacked Yes | 32c | 99.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 18c | 98.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 37c | 93.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 20c | 87.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 83.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 82.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed No | 62c | 79.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…d075backed No | 65c | 76.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed No | 68c | 74.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 49c | 73.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 41c | 72.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed No | 64c | 65.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 63.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 70c | 59.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 36c | 50.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb058…852cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…6d40backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 29c | 47.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 45.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 43c | 45.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b480backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 69c | 37.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 68c | 36.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…815abacked Yes | 33c | 35.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Yes | 33c | 34.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 153 | 30.7%47 W · 106 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 64c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 53c | 26.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…902dbacked No | 66c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…03ffbacked No | 65c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 54c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…ec7abacked No | 55c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…935fbacked No | 66c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…26abbacked No | 77c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 65c | 16.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.