Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9db78441869d874e9b10a053215ac917c775217092b3897be959c4f0e0c6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,603 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ec…b7cfbacked Yes | 30c | 45,000$13,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,498.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…9641backed No | 70c | 44,999$31,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,488.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…000abacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 693.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 78c | 554.24$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 20c | 502.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…4f75backed No | 80c | 427.46$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed Yes | 28c | 334$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 20c | 321$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 256.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 250.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked No | 79c | 239.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 229.45$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…4cdbbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 199.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 198.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 23c | 196$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 27c | 184.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…498abacked Yes | 27c | 150.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…677dbacked Yes | 21c | 146.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 130.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 73c | 127.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…b3ffbacked Yes | 26c | 126.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 80c | 122$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 11c | 117.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…d600backed Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…722cbacked Yes | 36c | 114.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 78c | 108.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…4cefbacked Yes | 29c | 102.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…b101backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 30c | 99.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 77c | 99.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…467bbacked Yes | 22c | 93.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 27c | 92.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 15c | 83.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…0d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 83.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 82.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 81.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 75c | 78.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed No | 71c | 76.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 28c | 72.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 78c | 71.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 18c | 67.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 234 | 7.3%17 W · 217 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e62…3a2abacked Yes | 30c | 67.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 32c | 61.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…d669backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…fa78backed Yes | 25c | 59.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…9744backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 23c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…e278backed Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…4470backed Yes | 28c | 53.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 27c | 53.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 72c | 51.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 26c | 50.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…2d36backed Yes | 23c | 49.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…bb68backed No | 65c | 46.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…cf4bbacked Yes | 22c | 45.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 34c | 44.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 42.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed Yes | 26c | 41.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 38.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…c1cfbacked No | 72c | 36.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…8189backed No | 75c | 34.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed No | 70c | 33.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 67c | 32.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…801ebacked No | 75c | 31.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…7cf0backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…6d75backed No | 75c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…c51ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 77c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 64c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 270 | 50.4%136 W · 134 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 76c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…5ef7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…97a6backed No | 78c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…8952backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 78c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.