Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779a3f434e854ff2a66e8714a251eb138fe29b953de82882c93f1d62210e80e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,508 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e74…206dbacked No | 7c | 6,556$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…73f1backed No | 0c | 2,675$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 24c | 994.67$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 7c | 759.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 69c | 603.34$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 11c | 570.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 385.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 32c | 321.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 24c | 317.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed No | 6c | 311.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…4cdbbacked Yes | 38c | 288.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 63c | 276.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 36c | 264.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 261.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed Yes | 43c | 251.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 41c | 223.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 9c | 221.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 55c | 220$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed No | 5c | 219.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 7c | 199.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 37c | 196$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 45c | 187.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…29a6backed Yes | 39c | 166.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 60c | 164.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 161.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 54c | 156.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 153.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 76c | 151.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 133.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 121.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…b3ffbacked Yes | 36c | 117.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 42c | 109.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 10c | 108.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 106.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…b101backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…8189backed No | 31c | 98.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 64c | 92.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 56c | 89.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 15c | 87.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 82.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…6ea2backed No | 57c | 80.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 79.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 72.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 59c | 69.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 39c | 68.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 55c | 63.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…c51ebacked No | 64c | 62.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 46c | 62.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 47c | 59.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 58c | 55.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…640abacked Yes | 38c | 52.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 29c | 51.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…000abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed Yes | 65c | 49.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 52c | 48.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 42c | 47.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 46.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…d05dbacked Yes | 45c | 44.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 70c | 43.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 56c | 43.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 51c | 42.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…507fbacked Yes | 44c | 40.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…6a16backed Yes | 40c | 40.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 29c | 40.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…4470backed Yes | 37c | 40.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 39c | 39.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…577ebacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 44c | 34.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2118…27a3backed Yes | 37c | 33.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…5eb7backed No | 55c | 33.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…2ff3backed No | 61c | 32.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 36c | 32.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…cf4bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 64c | 32.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…17babacked No | 71c | 30.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…a3e7backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…3d07backed No | 64c | 29.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…fc2ebacked Yes | 55c | 26.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…4dadbacked Yes | 39c | 25.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.