Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76571df48d488671ae04d6aa0610c11ebc51018cefd850ea8a9d523c150745cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2d…2adcbacked Yes | 2c | 27,891$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 23,340$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.37 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 14,587$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.17 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,326$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…a03abacked Yes | 6c | 8,344$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,521$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 5c | 5,229$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…ac81backed Yes | 4c | 5,111$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,622$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b6…3710backed Yes | 5c | 4,266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…5bcfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,791$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…27b9backed Yes | 0c | 3,540$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,332$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 6c | 3,046$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 2,852$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 2,754$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,735$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,721$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 2,670$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…5324backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 4c | 2,348$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…df0abacked Yes | 4c | 2,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 2,260$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +395.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…f485backed Yes | 5c | 2,071$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6062…92dcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,019$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…2ff3backed Yes | 6c | 1,967$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 10c | 1,899$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…6927backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,661$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…3b50backed Yes | 6c | 1,654$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…e0d1backed Yes | 5c | 1,641$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…fbe6backed Yes | 5c | 1,618$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 1,572$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,559$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…e1babacked Yes | 7c | 1,420$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…dd88backed Yes | 5c | 1,377$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 5c | 1,357$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…de4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,344$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…f376backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…acbabacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…11fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…1180backed Yes | 5c | 1,197$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…506ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2e…d3cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 3c | 1,090$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603d…e0cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,024$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…366bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,022$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed Yes | 5c | 970$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 10c | 940$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…5269backed Yes | 5c | 916.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 907.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…cac0backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 10c | 827.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…ff1cbacked Yes | 4c | 814.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked Yes | 5c | 799.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 787$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…241cbacked Yes | 8c | 757.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…e6b3backed Yes | 7c | 742.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 739.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…e82cbacked Yes | 7c | 722.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…231fbacked Yes | 5c | 720.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 5c | 699.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5347…95f2backed Yes | 3c | 674.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed Yes | 5c | 668$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…bd0cbacked Yes | 8c | 665.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +298.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 4c | 656.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 650.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 3c | 640$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 635.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…e4f5backed Yes | 6c | 634.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 619.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…0c34backed Yes | 10c | 605.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…5861backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…b512backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…8412backed Yes | 7c | 542.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…8185backed Yes | 6c | 533.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…31fbbacked Yes | 6c | 523.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 11c | 523.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…b348backed Yes | 6c | 522.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…7cd3backed Yes | 7c | 514.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…2981backed Yes | 6c | 513.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 4c | 511.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 4c | 500.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…cdb1backed Yes | 4c | 497.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…a920backed Yes | 5c | 438.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked Yes | 5c | 434.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 6c | 413.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…3dadbacked Yes | 6c | 413.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 399.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…bd2cbacked Yes | 6c | 390.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b7…0320backed Yes | 5c | 384.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.