TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,211 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over46c36,111$16,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,499.873740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under53c14,219$7,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,602.653930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x61c0…e892backed Under54c7,700$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c5,443$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c4,631$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c3,718$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.2550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under54c3,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8909272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c2,232$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.8119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under53c1,836$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.0413748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over45c1,209$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.143658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over48c1,092$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.8414166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under22c947.13$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.949929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c680.85$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8517053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c575.65$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.0975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under33c399.27$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7625348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under54c375$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.339446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c318.87$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.22,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over48c301.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5723435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14332164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c246.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.068146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.529259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c217.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over49c205.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.62035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10831849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10819145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under54c166.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0236554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over79c146.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7610579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over48c130.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under54c129.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0713152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.589373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.826958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.828359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over47c115$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.46642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under54c105.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over69c101.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3225550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c100.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.481,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over50c100.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.871758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.27160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c64.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9220758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over53c57.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.621,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed Under54c54.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0824349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c51.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.571,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Under54c51.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.552962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2759645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c43.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.620556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b15…569ebacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f90…0882backed Under53c34.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c30.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.217456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under54c29.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under54c28.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123941%16 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1211842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over46c27.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9811450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.