Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717ff37e63fff7a33ccaa7a62c61c724f9e991023c675d51fcfa8db3923b3223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,241 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 54c | 604.04$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 513.11$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 381.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 48c | 285.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 186.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 46c | 111.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 20c | 85.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 80c | 85.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 82.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 73.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 54c | 46.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 53c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.