Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b118dde2f07aae6755ca8f3438b0326f71c8e210ebf41d1b09789af676e7eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,897 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 2,546$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 26c | 1,249$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.04 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,123$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 24c | 328$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 266.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 77c | 259$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 217.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 158.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 141.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 51c | 100.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 24c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 70.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 43.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 75c | 32.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 29.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 17.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.