Fifa International · resolved market
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81f65bcf5bff14954cec03e96792dd804049206be13e288757c35069464caa54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 60c | 1,793$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.08 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 303.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…41dbbacked Yes | 36c | 299.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 29c | 139.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 62c | 123$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 32c | 57.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 61c | 55.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked No | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 38c | 32.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…88a0backed Yes | 39c | 30.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed Yes | 43c | 26.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.