Fifa International · resolved market
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48602c4bd4038a1bbe131235e35316e1168e1b83609fc3d572b14cc7afed6c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,838$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 65c | 1,218$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.17 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,062$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Over | 50c | 1,034$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 69c | 718.93$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 624.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Over | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Over | 69c | 326.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 65c | 321.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 66c | 303.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 49c | 301.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 69c | 162.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 57c | 151.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 43c | 150.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 33c | 148.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…01c7backed Under | 54c | 59.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 58.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 46c | 48.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 40c | 45.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 69c | 41.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 68c | 38.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 43c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5this page
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.