Fifa International · resolved market
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd8622f84edc98151e66e2d39e96098bdecff0ed08e32b15af607d3e8f65a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,362$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 60c | 3,334$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.77 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,952$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 39c | 1,016$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 50c | 1,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 872.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.28 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over | 40c | 706.61$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 37c | 666$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 67c | 350.57$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe68…0895backed Over | 28c | 178.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked Under | 61c | 172.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 61c | 157.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 26c | 140.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Over | 35c | 140.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 50c | 138.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 123.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 59c | 106.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 39c | 102.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 66c | 99.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 46c | 89.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 51c | 75.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…8390backed Over | 41c | 73.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 28c | 70.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 62c | 44.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…7c5cbacked Under | 71c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 57c | 20.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5this page
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.