Fifa International · resolved market
Benin vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce3a25b8ed034030066d90864ec47bfea98f3362735c402991bcf3b7b110e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 711.41$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 654.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 31c | 51.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 32c | 48.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…44e7backed No | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Benin vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.