Fifa International · resolved market
Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c507644d40a454246b10ce9a33bdc70537dad3b7d33363df4c91b0a02e4070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,436$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 1,575$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Over | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 48c | 1,173$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.08 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 1,130$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.11 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 65c | 614.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 49c | 459.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 358.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Under | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…44e7backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 64c | 65.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…a497backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 30c | 56.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…1bb1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…9091backed Under | 70c | 26.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Over | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5this page
- Benin vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.