Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x145d42ce8e2ff2c0cb8a7919faaf16db3edc8a8908bacfa253fe67e07a325fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,626 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 2,207$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 1,895$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 890.84$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 20c | 516.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 360.42$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 44c | 207.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 80c | 129.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 120.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…992cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 101.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…97b6backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +218.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 42c | 74.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 70.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 54.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 55c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 21.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.