Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7217a9c41d1b222379299e860e25e27cf82471f31d0f167e43bb54e647ae325f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,576 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,240$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 25c | 908$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 416.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 51c | 306.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 69c | 259$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 39c | 176.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed No | 75c | 98.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 76.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 62.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 50.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 36.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 59c | 29.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 41c | 29.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 22.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…5bb3backed Yes | 49c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.