Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a64753f37fbe6c21f492d31f271063e98c584686e43486383d3b6520271478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 75c | 5,345$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 2,566$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.69 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 960.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 24c | 907.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 25c | 672.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | -17.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 25c | 578.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 1,157 | 53.1%614 W · 543 L | +43.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 8c | 526.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 996 | 52.6%524 W · 472 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 11c | 378.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 76c | 277.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 801 | 50.1%401 W · 400 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 77c | 277.05$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 671 | 47.8%321 W · 350 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 28c | 152.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 26c | 140.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 138.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 72c | 136.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed Yes | 78c | 128.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 26c | 101.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 71c | 99.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 221 | 74.2%164 W · 57 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 241 | 30.3%73 W · 168 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 27c | 76.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 72c | 75.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 72c | 75.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 73.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 25c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…4e86backed Yes | 77c | 51.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 24c | 48.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 47.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,004 | 53.4%536 W · 468 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…5b23backed Yes | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 74c | 26.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 78c | 23.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 77c | 21.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.