TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe793…5b23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.92
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.36
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.